Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Daniel Merida
- Away Win (Merida)
- Odds
- +300
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 48%
- Risk: Low · model probability 48%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Merida's longer rest may aid recovery but Paul holds a slight edge in recent activity and verified results.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | 76% | -320 | 52% |
| Daniel Merida | 24% | +320 | 48% |
Recent form
Tommy Paul
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | vs Holger Rune | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | vs Carlos Alcaraz | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs Luciano Darderi | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | @ Daniil Medvedev | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Zizou Bergs | 2-0 | W |
Daniel Merida
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Alex Michelsen | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | vs Andrey Rublev | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs Marton Fucsovics | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 18, 2026 | @ Taylor Fritz | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | vs Zizou Bergs | 2-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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