Pablo Carreño Busta vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Pablo Carreño Busta
- Match Winner: Home Win
- Odds
- +120
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 48%
- Risk: Medium · model probability 48%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Similar recent form and H2H edge favor home player, offset by away player's higher ranking and serve consistency.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreño Busta | 44% | +128 | 48% |
| Mattia Bellucci | 56% | -128 | 52% |
Recent form
Pablo Carreño Busta
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Alejandro Tabilo | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | @ Jiri Lehečka | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | @ Andrey Rublev | 0-2 | L |
Mattia Bellucci
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Taylor Fritz | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | vs Zsombor Piros | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 25, 2026 | vs Luciano Darderi | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | @ Martin Landaluce | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | vs Jakub Menšik | 1-2 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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