Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Lorenzo Sonego
- Away Win (Sonego)
- Odds
- +125
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 51%
- Risk: Low · model probability 51%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
GENIE_MODEL elo-based rating and Sonego's marginally higher career experience favor him narrowly on indoor hard despite Bellucci's fresher wins.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 58% | -136 | 49% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 42% | +136 | 51% |
Recent form
Mattia Bellucci
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Pablo Carreño Busta | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Taylor Fritz | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | vs Zsombor Piros | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 25, 2026 | vs Luciano Darderi | 1-2 | L |
Lorenzo Sonego
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Jaume Munar | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | @ Alexander Zverev | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | vs James Duckworth | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | @ Adrian Mannarino | 2-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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