Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Away Win (Alcaraz)
- Odds
- -667
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 77%
- Risk: Low · model probability 78%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Alcaraz's dominant recent form, elite return stats, and historical edge on hard surfaces favor him strongly.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | 17% | +478 | 22% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 83% | -478 | 78% |
Recent form
Matteo Berrettini
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | vs Ugo Humbert | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 3, 2026 | @ Brandon Nakashima | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | vs Alex de Minaur | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | vs Mariano Navone | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | vs Stan Wawrinka | 3-0 | W |
Carlos Alcaraz
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ Alex Michelsen | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Alex de Minaur | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Daniil Medvedev | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ Tommy Paul | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ Zizou Bergs | 0-2 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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