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Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur Prediction & Odds

Kick-off · ATP

SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.

Our pick

AI pick
Alex de Minaur
Match Winner: Away Win
Odds
-230
sportsbook price stored with the pick
Confidence
67%
Risk: Low · model probability 68%
Result
Pending
graded automatically after the game

De Minaur's verified recent form, superior surface Elo, and recent Vienna wins favor him.

Price and probabilities

Best price for this pick
-230
at Fanduel, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
SideMarket (no-vig)Fair priceOur model
Matteo Berrettini34%+19732%
Alex de Minaur66%-19768%

Recent form

Last results before this game, from the results we grade our picks against.

Matteo Berrettini

Date (UTC)OpponentScoreResult
Sep 2, 2026vs Mariano Navone1-3L
Aug 31, 2026vs Stan Wawrinka3-0W
Aug 15, 2026@ Jiri Lehečka1-2L
Aug 14, 2026@ Titouan Droguet2-1W
Aug 3, 2026vs Mariano Navone1-2L

Alex de Minaur

Date (UTC)OpponentScoreResult
Oct 28, 2026@ Learner Tien2-0W
Oct 15, 2026@ Alexander Zverev0-2L
Oct 13, 2026vs Karen Khachanov2-0W
Oct 11, 2026vs Rei Sakamoto2-0W
Sep 3, 2026@ Botic Van de Zandschulp0-3L

Every pick is graded in public

Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.

See the track record →More tennis picks →

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