Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Lorenzo Musetti
- Match Winner: Away Win
- Odds
- -246
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 76%
- Risk: Low · model probability 79%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Musetti’s last-5 (L W L W W) and higher career ranking/points average outweigh Arnaldi’s home form slump per verified results and GENIE_MODEL.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 31% | +222 | 21% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 69% | -222 | 79% |
Recent form
Matteo Arnaldi
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Taylor Fritz | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | vs James Duckworth | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | @ Martin Landaluce | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 7, 2026 | @ Tallon Griekspoor | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 5, 2026 | @ Fábián Marozsán | 2-1 | W |
Lorenzo Musetti
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Dane Sweeny | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | @ Arthur Fery | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | vs Frances Tiafoe | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 20, 2026 | @ Jaime Faria | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 18, 2026 | @ Michael Zheng | 2-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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