Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel Prediction & Result
Final Played · ATP
Lorenzo Musetti2-0Toby Samuel
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Lorenzo Musetti
- Home Win (Musetti)
- Odds
- -440
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 71%
- Risk: Low · model probability 72%
- Result
- Won
- graded against the final score
Superior ranking (top 25 vs ~97), recent title and wins over higher-ranked players on indoor hard, plus 5 days rest vs Samuel’s 1 day.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 77% | -341 | 72% |
| Toby Samuel | 23% | +341 | 28% |
Recent form
Lorenzo Musetti
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | vs Luca Van Assche | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ Alexander Zverev | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Hubert Hurkacz | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 19, 2026 | @ Matteo Arnaldi | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Dane Sweeny | 1-3 | L |
Toby Samuel
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | @ Leo Borg | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 8, 2026 | @ Adrian Mannarino | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | @ Jiri Lehečka | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs Tomaš Machač | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | vs Billy Harris | 2-1 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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