Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Match Winner: Away Win
- Odds
- -230
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 61%
- Risk: Low · model probability 62%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Alcaraz holds superior recent scoring efficiency and stronger away form; indoor hard surface favors his aggressive baseline game.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -230
- at Fanduel, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 34% | +198 | 38% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 66% | -198 | 62% |
Recent form
Daniil Medvedev
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ Adrian Mannarino | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Rafael Jodar | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | vs Tommy Paul | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs Dalibor Svrčina | 2-0 | W |
Carlos Alcaraz
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ Tommy Paul | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ Zizou Bergs | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | @ Ben Shelton | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | @ Tommy Paul | 3-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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