Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Frances Tiafoe
- Match Winner: Away Win
- Odds
- +605
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 29%
- Risk: Low · model probability 28%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Tiafoe’s recent losses and lower head-to-head edge on hard courts reduce chances.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- +610
- at Fanduel, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 86% | -635 | 72% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 14% | +635 | 28% |
Recent form
Carlos Alcaraz
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | @ Ben Shelton | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 7, 2026 | @ Casper Ruud | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 6, 2026 | @ Taylor Fritz | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ Alex Michelsen | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Alex de Minaur | 2-0 | W |
Frances Tiafoe
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ Quentin Halys | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Ben Shelton | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | vs Alex Michelsen | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | @ Daniil Medvedev | 3-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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