Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Alex de Minaur
- Home Win (de Minaur)
- Odds
- -150
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 60%
- Risk: Low · model probability 60%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Stronger recent form, better H2H on hard, higher Elo/player ranking differential, and model edge on hard surface.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 57% | -132 | 60% |
| Karen Khachanov | 43% | +132 | 40% |
Recent form
Alex de Minaur
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs Rei Sakamoto | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Botic Van de Zandschulp | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | @ Andrea Guerrieri | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 19, 2026 | @ Arthur Fils | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 17, 2026 | @ Arthur Fery | 2-0 | W |
Karen Khachanov
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs Adrian Mannarino | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @ Alexander Zverev | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | vs Learner Tien | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Benjamin Bonzi | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Felix Auger-Aliassime | 3-1 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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