Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · ATP
SprtGenie's AI pick for this tennis game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Alex de Minaur
- Match Winner: Home Win
- Odds
- +370
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 42%
- Risk: Low · model probability 42%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
De Minaur’s strong recent indoor hard form and 1-day rest match Alcaraz’s, but lower ranking/Elo edge.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- +370
- at Fanduel, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 20% | +393 | 42% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 80% | -393 | 58% |
Recent form
Alex de Minaur
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Alexander Zverev | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ Matteo Berrettini | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ Learner Tien | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ Alexander Zverev | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | vs Karen Khachanov | 2-0 | W |
Carlos Alcaraz
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Daniil Medvedev | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ Tommy Paul | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ Zizou Bergs | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | @ Ben Shelton | 2-3 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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