Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction & Result
Final Played · LIGA MX
Toluca2-3Santos Laguna
SprtGenie's AI pick for this soccer game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Toluca
- Match Winner: Home Win
- Odds
- -435
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- —
- Risk: — · model probability 72%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Toluca's superior recent form, high xG creation, and strong home record against a struggling Santos side with poor away results and low xG.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 89% | -770 | 72% |
| Santos Laguna | 12% | +770 | 10% |
Recent form
Toluca
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | @ Puebla | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | vs FC Juarez | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | @ Club Queretaro | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 3, 2026 | vs Necaxa | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1-2 | L |
Santos Laguna
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs Tigres UANL | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | @ Puebla | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 17, 2026 | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 2, 2026 | @ Club America | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 26, 2026 | vs Atlas | 0-1 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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