Puebla vs Toluca Prediction & Result
Final Played · LIGA MX
Puebla0-1Toluca
SprtGenie's AI pick for this soccer game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Puebla
- Match Winner: Home Win
- Odds
- +425
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 29%
- Risk: Low · model probability 28%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Puebla have mixed recent results and sit mid-table; home advantage but less attacking output.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 23% | +341 | 28% |
| Toluca | 77% | -341 | 45% |
Recent form
Puebla
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | @ Club America | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | vs Santos Laguna | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 18, 2026 | @ CF Pachuca | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 22, 2026 | @ Cruz Azul | 1-2 | L |
Toluca
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | vs FC Juarez | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | @ Club Queretaro | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 3, 2026 | vs Necaxa | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 19, 2026 | @ Guadalajara Chivas | 2-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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