Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · EPL
SprtGenie's AI pick for this soccer game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Manchester United
- Match Winner: Home Win
- Odds
- +119
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 41%
- Risk: Low · model probability 41%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Home advantage and xG creation edge offset United’s poor form and Villa’s better recent results.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- +125
- at Hardrockbet, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 58% | -137 | 41% |
| Aston Villa | 42% | +137 | 32% |
Recent form
Manchester United
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Chelsea | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs Bournemouth | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 21, 2026 | @ Como | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ Leeds United | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ Atlético Madrid | 0-2 | L |
Aston Villa
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | @ FC Barcelona | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Fulham | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Manchester City | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | vs Viking FK | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Newcastle United | 1-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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