Leon vs Toluca Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · LIGA MX
SprtGenie's AI pick for this soccer game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Toluca
- Match Winner: Away Win
- Odds
- -110
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 47%
- Risk: Low · model probability 47%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Toluca’s stronger last-5, better scoring/conceding averages, and historical edge in recent H2H favor the visitors.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 36% | +175 | 25% |
| Toluca | 64% | -175 | 47% |
Recent form
Leon
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs Club America | 3-5 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Puebla | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 21, 2026 | @ Club Queretaro | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | vs Monterrey | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 18, 2026 | @ Necaxa | 2-1 | W |
Toluca
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs Atletico San Luis | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Tigres UANL | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs Santos Laguna | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | @ Puebla | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | vs FC Juarez | 4-0 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More soccer picks →Get SprtGenie
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