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Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction & Result

Final Played · EPL

Arsenal2-1Leeds United

SprtGenie's AI pick for this soccer game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.

Our pick

AI pick
Arsenal
Match Winner: Home Win
Odds
-333
sportsbook price stored with the pick
Confidence
66%
Risk: Low · model probability 68%
Result
Won
graded against the final score

Arsenal's verified winning streak, superior xG differential (+3.96), dominant home form, and strong head-to-head record favor a home win.

Price and probabilities

SideMarket (no-vig)Fair priceOur model
Arsenal88%-73368%
Leeds United12%+73310%

Recent form

Last final scores before this game, from the results we grade our picks against.

Arsenal

Date (UTC)OpponentScoreResult
Sep 19, 2026@ Brighton & Hove Albion0-3L
Sep 6, 2026vs Chelsea2-1W
Aug 31, 2026@ Aston Villa1-0W
Aug 21, 2026vs Coventry3-0W
Mar 4, 2026@ Brighton & Hove Albion1-0W

Leeds United

Date (UTC)OpponentScoreResult
Sep 20, 2026vs Crystal Palace0-0D
Sep 5, 2026@ Brighton & Hove Albion1-1D
Aug 30, 2026vs Brentford1-1D
Aug 22, 2026@ Nottingham Forest1-0W
Mar 3, 2026vs Sunderland0-1L

Every pick is graded in public

Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.

See the track record →More soccer picks →

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