Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · UFC
SprtGenie's AI pick for this MMA game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Melquizael Costa
- Odds
- -380
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 71%
- Risk: Low · model probability 72%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Costa’s superior recent finishing power and record outweigh Gordon’s experience; stylistic matchup favors Costa’s striking; Gordon’s two straight losses limit upside.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -375
- at Betmgm, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Melquizael Costa | 75% | -302 |
| Jared Gordon | 25% | +302 |
Recent form
Melquizael Costa
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Morgan Charriere | 1-0 | W |
Jared Gordon
No finished games for Jared Gordon in our data yet.
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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