Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Result
Final Played · NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning3-1Washington Capitals
SprtGenie's AI pick for this hockey game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Washington Capitals
- Moneyline: Away Win
- Odds
- +180
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- —
- Risk: — · model probability 48%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Capitals’ strong opener and back-to-back fatigue create near-even matchup on paper.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 56% | -128 | 52% |
| Washington Capitals | 44% | +128 | 48% |
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ New York Rangers | 1-5 | L |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Buffalo Sabres | 7-8 | L |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 5-2 | W |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Winnipeg Jets | 1-4 | L |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ Minnesota Wild | 1-5 | L |
Washington Capitals
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Boston Bruins | 1-3 | L |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vs Utah Mammoth | 2-3 | L |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ Montréal Canadiens | 2-6 | L |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Vegas Golden Knights | 3-2 | W |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Philadelphia Flyers | 3-1 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More hockey picks →Get SprtGenie
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