New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Result
Final Played · NHL
New York Islanders3-5Tampa Bay Lightning
SprtGenie's AI pick for this hockey game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- New York Islanders
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- +220
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 48%
- Risk: Low · model probability 48%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Model gives Islanders 48.6% chance; supported by 3-0 recent H2H wins and home advantage.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- +225
- at Betrivers, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders | 38% | +161 | 48% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 62% | -161 | 52% |
Recent form
New York Islanders
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs New Jersey Devils | 6-0 | W |
| Sep 30, 2026 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ San Jose Sharks | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Los Angeles Kings | 3-5 | L |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ Anaheim Ducks | 1-5 | L |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Washington Capitals | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ New York Rangers | 1-5 | L |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Buffalo Sabres | 7-8 | L |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 5-2 | W |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Winnipeg Jets | 1-4 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More hockey picks →Get SprtGenie
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