Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NBA
SprtGenie's AI pick for this basketball game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Miami Heat
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -154
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 78%
- Risk: Low · model probability 82%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Heat on 5-game win streak with long rest; model rates Heat at 88.4% based on Elo and margin of victory data.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 59% | -143 | 82% |
| Indiana Pacers | 41% | +143 | 18% |
Recent form
Miami Heat
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs Detroit Pistons | 121-110 | W |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 128-120 | W |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs Brooklyn Nets | 126-110 | W |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vs Brooklyn Nets | 124-98 | W |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Houston Rockets | 115-105 | W |
Indiana Pacers
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 111-131 | L |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 117-128 | L |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ Los Angeles Clippers | 107-130 | L |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 106-125 | L |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs Charlotte Hornets | 109-133 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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