Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers vs Morgan State Bears Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NCAAB
SprtGenie's AI pick for this basketball game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -284
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 67%
- Risk: Low · model probability 68%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
UMBC’s home-court edge and recent home scoring outweigh Morgan State’s hot 3-0 start on the road; model and form data align on home favoritism.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -258
- at Draftkings, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers | 70% | -233 | 68% |
| Morgan State Bears | 30% | +233 | 32% |
Recent form
Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | @ Marist Red Foxes | 80-88 | L |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ George Mason Patriots | 54-82 | L |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs New Hampshire Wildcats | 84-69 | W |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @ NJIT Highlanders | 91-52 | W |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ UMass Lowell River Hawks | 84-60 | W |
Morgan State Bears
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | @ Niagara | 73-67 | W |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs Coppin State Eagles | 70-66 | W |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs Norfolk State | 90-84 | W |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Howard Bison | 59-84 | L |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vs Delaware State Hornets | 82-68 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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