Virginia vs Duke Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NCAAF
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Virginia
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -130
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 50%
- Risk: Low · model probability 50%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Near-even Elo-based ratings and balanced recent results favor neither strongly.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 54% | -117 | 50% |
| Duke | 46% | +117 | 50% |
Recent form
Virginia
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ SMU | 13-23 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Syracuse | 28-25 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs West Virginia | 27-38 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Norfolk State Spartans | 59-3 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs NC State | 34-8 | W |
Duke
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs North Carolina | 20-24 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Georgia Tech | 25-28 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Stanford | 35-7 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Illinois | 31-27 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Tulane | 17-3 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More american football picks →Get SprtGenie
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