Toledo vs UMass Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NCAAF
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Toledo
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -575
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 75%
- Risk: Low · model probability 76%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Toledo's superior verified form and home splits outweigh UMass away struggles.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -575
- at Draftkings, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 83% | -502 | 76% |
| UMass | 17% | +502 | 24% |
Recent form
Toledo
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | @ Sacramento State | 20-17 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Eastern Michigan | 34-14 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Buffalo Bulls | 8-23 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Temple | 49-48 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63-10 | W |
UMass
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | vs Ball State | 31-30 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @ UConn | 16-35 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Buffalo Bulls | 18-24 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Miami (OH) | 19-20 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Stonehill | 36-14 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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