Texas State vs Fresno State Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NCAAF
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Texas State
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -340
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 71%
- Risk: Low · model probability 72%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Texas State's superior recent form, offensive efficiency, and home advantage favor a home win.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -340
- at Fanatics, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 76% | -317 | 72% |
| Fresno State | 24% | +317 | 28% |
Recent form
Texas State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | @ Oregon State | 42-21 | W |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Boise State | 45-46 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Utah State | 20-17 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | vs Colorado State | 66-27 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs North Texas | 49-35 | W |
Fresno State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | @ Utah State | 10-17 | L |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vs Oregon State | 38-22 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ San Diego State | 23-26 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs Boise State | 31-38 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ San José State | 26-10 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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