Tarleton State vs Merrimack Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
Tarleton State45-20Merrimack
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Tarleton State
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -4559
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- —
- Risk: — · model probability 92%
- Result
- Won
- graded against the final score
Tarleton's offensive efficiency (32+ PPG) and home dominance versus Merrimack's defensive struggles (30+ PPG allowed).
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State | 95% | -1983 | 92% |
| Merrimack | 5% | +1983 | 8% |
Recent form
Tarleton State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ Mcneese State Cowboys | 27-24 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Bowling Green | 20-13 | W |
Merrimack
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Maine | 23-14 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Delaware | 7-42 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | vs Rhode Island | 7-34 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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