San José State vs Fresno State Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
San José State10-26Fresno State
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- San José State
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- +185
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- —
- Risk: — · model probability 42%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
SJSU’s 2-1 start, strong QB Luke Weaver production, and home venue edge outweigh Fresno’s road struggles despite visitor’s talent edge.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State | 36% | +182 | 42% |
| Fresno State | 65% | -182 | 58% |
Recent form
San José State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs Cal Poly Mustangs | 30-20 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Eastern Michigan | 27-21 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | @ USC | 26-42 | L |
Fresno State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs Sacramento State | 49-3 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ USC | 0-39 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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