Penn State vs USC Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
Penn State23-31USC
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Penn State
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -115
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 60%
- Risk: Low · model probability 61%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Penn State’s verified five straight wins, superior home splits, and defensive metrics outweigh USC’s road form despite higher scoring average.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -115
- at Fanatics, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 53% | -112 | 61% |
| USC | 47% | +112 | 39% |
Recent form
Penn State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Temple | 27-9 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Marshall | 45-0 | W |
USC
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Rutgers | 42-35 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs Louisiana | 49-30 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Fresno State | 39-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs San José State | 42-26 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More american football picks →Get SprtGenie
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