Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
Michigan State37-38Illinois
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Illinois
- Moneyline: Away Win
- Odds
- -125
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 55%
- Risk: Low · model probability 55%
- Result
- Won
- graded against the final score
Illinois shows better scoring average in last 5 games and favorable QB matchup with former MSU signal-caller.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -125
- at Fanatics, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 44% | +125 | 45% |
| Illinois | 56% | -125 | 55% |
Recent form
Michigan State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Notre Dame | 10-27 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Eastern Michigan | 35-7 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Toledo | 30-20 | W |
Illinois
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Southern Illinois | 48-10 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Duke | 27-31 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs UAB | 42-23 | W |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
See the track record →More american football picks →Get SprtGenie
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