Liberty vs Ball State Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
Liberty51-15Ball State
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Liberty
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -270
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- —
- Risk: — · model probability 78%
- Result
- Won
- graded against the final score
Liberty's 1-1 record includes a narrow home win; Ball State’s only win came against an FCS opponent; significant talent and experience gap favors Liberty.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 73% | -273 | 78% |
| Ball State | 27% | +273 | 22% |
Recent form
Liberty
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Gardner-Webb | 24-23 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ James Madison | 13-20 | L |
Ball State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Stony Brook | 41-17 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Ohio State | 3-56 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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