Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction & Result
Final Played · NCAAF
Fresno State31-38Boise State
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, published before kick-off and graded against the final score.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Fresno State
- Fresno State Bulldogs
- Odds
- +230
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 42%
- Risk: Low · model probability 42%
- Result
- Lost
- graded against the final score
Fresno State’s recent home form and turnover margin edge (+8) are offset by Boise State’s superior rushing attack and top-ranked time of possession.
Price and probabilities
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 30% | +231 | 42% |
| Boise State | 70% | -231 | 58% |
Recent form
Fresno State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ San José State | 26-10 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs Sacramento State | 49-3 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ USC | 0-39 | L |
Boise State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs South Dakota | 38-24 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Memphis | 38-20 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Oregon | 27-34 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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