Boise State vs Texas State Prediction & Odds
Kick-off · NCAAF
SprtGenie's AI pick for this american football game, from analysis of live sportsbook odds, verified recent results and current news. After the game this page shows the final score and the graded result.
Our pick
- AI pick
- Boise State
- Moneyline: Home Win
- Odds
- -400
- sportsbook price stored with the pick
- Confidence
- 70%
- Risk: Low · model probability 71%
- Result
- Pending
- graded automatically after the game
Verified recent form and home splits give Boise State a clear edge.
Price and probabilities
- Best price for this pick
- -400
- at Fanatics, the best of the sportsbooks we compared when the pick was published. Prices move; check the current price before acting.
| Side | Market (no-vig) | Fair price | Our model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 78% | -361 | 71% |
| Texas State | 22% | +361 | 29% |
Recent form
Boise State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Washington State | 31-10 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ Fresno State | 38-31 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs South Dakota | 38-24 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Memphis | 38-20 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Oregon | 27-34 | L |
Texas State
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Utah State | 20-17 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | vs Colorado State | 66-27 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs North Texas | 49-35 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs UTSA | 26-31 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Texas | 7-59 | L |
Every pick is graded in public
Wins, losses and pushes for every finished pick are on the SprtGenie track record, graded automatically against the official final score.
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